Washington's former arch-enemies are on the verge of taking power in El Salvador, posing the first major foreign policy test on Latin America for the Obama administration.
In the 1980s, Washington spent $6 billion trying to defeat the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) rebels. The bloody proxy war left a ravaged country and 75,000 people dead – the vast majority at the hands of the US-backed army and allied death squads.
The FMLN traded the bullet for the ballot in 1992, when it became a legal political party with the signing of peace accords. Now, an FMLN victory stands to bring an end to 20 years of one-party rule by the far-right ARENA party.
The FMLN's candidate is Mauricio Funes, a bookish and charismatic former journalist. It's the first time the party has chosen a candidate from beyond the ranks of ex-rebel commanders, and his candidacy has given the FMLN a consistent double-digit lead in the polls.
The Obama administration has taken a cautious approach to recent electoral victories by leftist leaders in Latin America. The State Department congratulated Bolivia on a referendum that ratified a new constitution drafted by its leftist government. And when Hugo Chávez won a plebiscite on lifting term-limits for all elected officials, the Obama administration promised to "maintain a positive relationship with Venezuela."
But it's unclear how Washington will respond to a presidential victory by the party of El Salvador's former guerrillas. The response from the State Department and hopefully from Obama himself (will he call Funes for congratulations?), will provide clues about how the new administration plans to steer relations with leftist leaders from the region in the upcoming Summit of the Americas in April.
Granted, Funes is unlikely to take a combative stance toward Washington. His country depends too heavily on the good graces of the White House, particularly on immigration and economic matters, so it's not surprising Funes has promised to maintain good relations with all the countries in the hemisphere, from Venezuela to the United States.
For those interested, I recently worked on a lengthy report on the upcoming elections in El Salvador. You can download it for free on the NACLA website.
I'll reactivate the blog as some other time, or maybe start a new one based on some of the work I expect to do in the coming years.
Someday I'd like to make a map like this for Colombia. This map shows key natural resource extraction sites in Guatemala and allows viewers to manipulate the information included on the map. One pretty interesting conclusion shown by the map is the close correlation between road construction and extractive projects.
A just-published article by my friend and colleague John Lindsay-Poland raises alarming questions about the revamping of U.S. militarization in Colombia. He calls current plans in the works "the worst thing to happen to U.S. policy in the Andes since Plan Colombia began a decade ago."
Colombian authorities have finally caught up with a hippopotamus who had been on the run for two years. The hippo had escaped, along with his mate, from the narco-estate of slain drug don Pablo Escobar. The hippos had produced an offspring in the wild of the Magdalena River valley, and the two remaining hippos are still unaccounted for.
Argentines are known throughout Latin America for their oversized egos. They might joke that it's only a matter of time before their countrymen take over the world. It turns out that the very ground your standing on, whether in San Francisco or in Tokyo, deep down is owned by an Argentine… an Argentine ant
Ask a cab driver in Panama City, Panama about their main complaint, and they won't tell you about being mugged at gunpoint or about the capital city's monstrous traffic jams. No, they'll most likely answer with three words: Los Diablo Rojos. The Red Devils.